📣 Trudeau’s Leadership Under Question on Polymarket

posted  6 Jan 2025
Polymarket users anticipate Trudeau’s resignation by week’s end, but media opinions clash. Some outlets see it as imminent, while Reuters highlights ongoing indecision. Could Canada see a political shake-up soon?
Betting on Polymarket suggests Justin Trudeau, Canada’s Prime Minister, may resign before the week is over. Meanwhile, prominent media outlets are speculating about the exact timing of his exit.

Polymarket’s current odds place Trudeau’s resignation by Friday, January 10, 2024, at 80%. A separate contract shows a 75% probability of his departure by Wednesday, with today’s odds, January 6, standing at 70%.
See all Trudeau-related bets. Source: polymarket.com

See all Trudeau-related bets. Source: polymarket.com

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has been a vocal adversary of cryptocurrencies, frequently speaking out against them. He notably targeted opposition leader Pierre Poilievre for his pro-crypto position, dismissing it as reckless leadership while underscoring the risks and volatility of digital assets.

Trudeau’s push for a Canadian Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) further highlights his divergence from the decentralized ideals championed by the crypto community.

With rumors swirling about Justin Trudeau stepping down, attention has turned to possible successors. Leading contenders include Pierre Poilievre, Chrystia Freeland, Jagmeet Singh, and Trudeau himself.
The probability of each candidate becoming Canada’s next prime minister has been charted by Polymarket users. Source: polymarket.com

The probability of each candidate becoming Canada’s next prime minister has been charted by Polymarket users. Source: polymarket.com

Although Polymarket points to a strong likelihood of Trudeau stepping down, not all media outlets agree. Reuters, referencing insider information, claims that Trudeau remains undecided on his next move.